According to the forecast of the International Monetary Fund, in 2011, the GDP of developed economies will grow by about 2.4, and the GDP of developing countries will grow by about 6.6. It is expected that the international market demand will increase, especially my country and emerging economies and developing countries. The continuous expansion of economic and technological cooperation, the establishment of a free trade area with the six ASEAN countries, and the signing of free trade area agreements with Chile, Peru, Singapore and other countries. Therefore, the international economic environment in 2011 is conducive to the steady and rapid development of foreign trade in China's machine tool industry.

However, due to the lack of momentum for the recovery of the world economy, many deep-seated contradictions and problems have yet to be resolved, coupled with the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the US economy has rebounded weakly and the uncertainty of economic development has increased. At the same time, the supply and demand of resource products in the international market is still tight, the prices of some raw materials may rise, as well as the expected appreciation of the RMB exchange rate and the increase in labor costs in China, will cause the export cost of machine tools to increase. What needs special attention is that in the case of economic downturn, trade protectionism in various countries will continue to occur. These will have an impact on China's machine tool industry to expand exports.

The Fifth Plenary Session of the Seventeenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China pointed out in the main goals of economic and social development during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" that "steady and rapid economic development", "significant progress has been made in the strategic adjustment of economic structure", and "the income of urban and rural residents is generally rapid. growth". The machine tool industry is facing the important task of adjusting the economic structure and changing the development mode. It is necessary to vigorously develop emerging strategic industries, research and develop high-end CNC machine tools and their functional components, automated complete production lines, and intelligent control systems. With the adjustment of industrial structure and the gradual optimization of product structure, the import and export structure of machine tools will also change.

According to the above analysis, it is expected that the import and export of machine tool industry will continue to grow in 2011, and the structure of import and export products will be improved. In terms of imports, the proportion of imports of large and heavy machine tools and expensive machine tools may continue to decline, and the import of key components required by domestic enterprises to develop high-end machine tools and large and heavy machine tools will increase.

In terms of exports, in addition to a small number of high-end and large-duty machine tools may continue to make breakthroughs and enter the international market; medium and low-end CNC machine tools, high-quality ordinary machine tools suitable for user needs, as well as metal cutting tools and abrasives, forging and stamping tools, machine tool accessories, etc., Will still be welcomed by the international market and users.

The development of the machine tool industry mainly depends on the fixed assets of the machinery industry (the required equipment is mainly machine tools) and export pull. It is estimated that the growth rate of fixed assets in China's machinery industry in 2011 will not reach the level of about 40% growth in previous years (from January to September 2010, the fixed assets in the machinery industry reached 1.34 trillion yuan, up 30.35 year on year). Therefore, expanding exports has become an important aspect of stimulating the development of the industry. For this reason, it is recommended to adapt to changes in international market demand, adjust and optimize the structure of export products; open up potential markets, pay attention to the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis and the US quantitative easing monetary policy; actively respond to the impact of importing machine tools from Taiwan to improve competitiveness; Pay attention to the analysis of imported equipment, select products with large imports for research and development; avoid exchange rate risks and promote RMB settlement.